TL;DR

  • The Four Futures series asks: as AI collapses build times and concentrates infrastructure, which economic future are we actually selecting for?
  • Read in this order: framework → signals → century horizons
  • Four scenarios: Broad Abundance, Winner-Take-Most, Techno-Feudalism, Managed Transition
  • Full series index: /series/four-futures/

Start here

  1. Four Futures for the Machine-Speed Economy - the map: four plausible outcomes and what to watch for
  2. Reading the Signals: Which of the Four Futures Is Actually Emerging? - scoring real-world signals against the framework as of 2026
  3. The Year 2126: What the Next Hundred Years Actually Looks Like - century-scale consequences if the transition goes well or badly
  4. The Year 3026: Thinking Seriously About a Thousand Years From Now - what, if anything, holds value across civilisational time

Supporting reading