The Year 3026: Thinking Seriously About a Thousand Years From Now
Most writing about the future of AI stops at ten years. A few brave pieces stretch to fifty. I wrote one of the ten-year ones myself in The Next Decade of AI, and the honest reason the horizon stays short is that the uncertainty gets unmanageable much past that. Forecasting even the shape of the economy in 2040 is already mostly vibes. A thousand years, then, is almost ridiculous as a frame. But almost is not quite the same as is. There is a specific kind of value in trying to think at this distance, precisely because it forces you to let go of the things that cannot survive the journey - companies, currencies, programming languages, probably nations - and look at what, if anything, does. ...