Quantum Computing: A Threat to Bitcoin? Banner

Quantum Computing: A Threat to Bitcoin?

TL;DR Quantum computers threaten Bitcoin because Shor’s algorithm can derive a private key from an exposed public key, breaking the ECDSA and Schnorr signatures that authorise transactions. The threat is real but not imminent. Credible estimates put a cryptographically relevant quantum computer somewhere between 2029 and 2035. Research cited by Google and Bitcoin security analysts suggests a roughly 10% chance of a break by 2032. Around 6.9 million BTC - close to a third of all supply - sit in addresses with exposed public keys, including roughly 1 million BTC believed to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto. These are the coins most at risk. Mining (SHA-256) is far less exposed. Grover’s algorithm only offers a quadratic speed-up, which higher network difficulty can absorb. Bitcoin’s defences are forming: BIP-360 adds a quantum-resistant address type, BIP-361 proposes a controversial migrate-or-freeze deadline, and NIST has finalised post-quantum standards (ML-DSA, SLH-DSA) for future signature schemes to draw on. The safest action for an ordinary holder today: use a modern address and never reuse it, so your public key stays hidden behind a hash until you spend. Overview Quantum computing is one of the most significant theoretical threats to modern cryptography. For Bitcoin, the core concern is that a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could run Shor’s algorithm to solve the elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem - the hard maths that secures Bitcoin’s public-key cryptography. ...

May 20, 2026 · 9 min · James M

Private Keys in Cryptocurrency

What Are Private Keys? A private key is a cryptographic variable used in conjunction with an algorithm to encrypt and decrypt data. In the context of cryptocurrencies, a private key is a secret number that allows you to spend the cryptocurrency associated with your public address. Key Principles Never Share: Private keys should be shared only with the key’s generator or parties explicitly authorized to decrypt the data Unique Control: Only the holder of a private key can authorize transactions from that address Irretrievable Loss: Losing your private key means losing access to your funds permanently Cryptographic Foundation: Private keys are crucial in both symmetric and asymmetric cryptography, and are fundamental to cryptocurrency security How Private Keys Work Private keys are the foundation of public-key cryptography. When you create a cryptocurrency wallet, a private key is generated - typically as a random 256-bit number. Your public key (and thus your public address) is mathematically derived from this private key. This relationship is one-way: while anyone with your public key can verify that you signed a transaction, they cannot derive your private key from it. ...

June 23, 2023 · 3 min · James M